Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 76.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 68.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Kindel
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kindel
Bjugstad
Last 6: Kindel 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
1
0
Kindel
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
3
0
Kindel
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Kindel
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
48.6% (6,634)
-5.5%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
55.2% (829)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
44.3% (614)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kindel is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Kindel shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Home / Away
Kindel
Bjugstad
Home
46.1% (267)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
42.9% (273)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Kindel
Bjugstad
P1
41.5%
49.0%
P2
45.8%
49.1%
P3
42.6%
48.4%
OT
91.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |