Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Paul 52.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 79.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 76.7%
Neutral zone
Kindel 77.3%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Kindel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kindel
Paul
Last 8: Kindel 2-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
3
Kindel
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kindel
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Kindel
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
52.5% (3,796)
-9.4%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
56.5% (480)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
46.7% (574)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Kindel
Paul
Home
46.1% (267)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
42.9% (273)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Kindel
Paul
P1
41.5%
53.9%
P2
45.8%
51.0%
P3
42.6%
52.0%
OT
91.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 17:28 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Nick Paul |