Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kindel wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Zacha 51.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 80.9%
Neutral zone
Kindel 78.8%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Kindel
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kindel
Zacha
Last 5: Kindel 0-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
4
Kindel
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kindel
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
53.3% (646)
-10.2%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
53.0% (100)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
38.9% (72)
+21.1%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kindel is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Kindel shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kindel
Zacha
Home
46.1% (267)
51.7% (410)
Away
42.9% (273)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Kindel
Zacha
P1
41.5%
57.7%
P2
45.8%
48.9%
P3
42.6%
50.2%
OT
91.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 17:48 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |