Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kindel wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 86.2%
Defensive zone
Kindel 51.4%
Neutral zone
Kindel 67.7%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Kindel
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kindel
Carrick
Last 9: Kindel 3-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Kindel
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Kindel
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (478)
54.9% (428)
-11.6%
Power Play
56.8% (37)
66.7% (3)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (14)
50.0% (50)
+7.1%
On even strength, Carrick has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kindel is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Kindel shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Kindel
Carrick
Home
46.5% (256)
58.2% (225)
Away
42.9% (273)
51.2% (256)
By Period
Kindel
Carrick
P1
41.3%
55.2%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
42.6%
55.4%
Final 5 min
39.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.6%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |