Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kindel wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 45.3% vs Carrick 52.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 87.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kindel 69.4%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Kindel
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kindel
Carrick
Last 9: Kindel 3-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kindel
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Kindel
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Kindel
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (487)
52.1% (2,513)
-9.0%
Power Play
55.3% (38)
61.3% (75)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
50.7% (430)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kindel is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Kindel shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Kindel
Carrick
Home
46.1% (267)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
42.9% (273)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Kindel
Carrick
P1
41.5%
51.8%
P2
45.8%
52.2%
P3
42.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |