Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.8% vs Smith 51.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 52.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 91.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 72.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Barkov
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Barkov
Smith
Last 8: Barkov 7-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
0
Barkov
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Barkov
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (801)
54.5% (321)
-8.9%
Power Play
52.2% (157)
100.0% (1)
-47.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (65)
44.5% (146)
+0.1%
On power play, Smith has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Barkov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (359).
Barkov shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Barkov
Smith
Home
45.6% (502)
54.0% (274)
Away
47.4% (521)
47.9% (194)
By Period
Barkov
Smith
P1
45.9%
51.7%
P2
45.1%
51.7%
P3
47.3%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |