Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Gaunce 50.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 70.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 80.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 56.7%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Smith
Gaunce
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Gaunce
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Gaunce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Gaunce
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
0
1
Smith
Gaunce
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Gaunce
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
49.4% (156)
+5.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
83.3% (6)
-38.8%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Gaunce is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Smith
Gaunce
Home
54.0% (274)
49.4% (85)
Away
47.9% (194)
53.2% (79)
By Period
Smith
Gaunce
P1
51.7%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
41.1%
P3
51.0%
58.1%
Final 5 min
59.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Ben Smith |