Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.1%). Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Gaunce 51.9% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 67.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 54.9%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Smith
Gaunce
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Gaunce
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Gaunce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Gaunce
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
0
1
Smith
Gaunce
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Gaunce
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.7% (894)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
55.6% (9)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
55.4% (92)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Gaunce has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Gaunce is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Smith
Gaunce
Home
53.8% (860)
49.9% (525)
Away
49.8% (805)
54.5% (470)
By Period
Smith
Gaunce
P1
52.1%
53.6%
P2
50.2%
47.4%
P3
53.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Ben Smith |