Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Jarnkrok 48.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.4%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Smith
Jarnkrok
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Smith
Jarnkrok
Last 7: Smith 4-3 Jarnkrok
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Jarnkrok
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Jarnkrok
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
0
3
Smith
Jarnkrok
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Jarnkrok
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
49.3% (3,354)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
51.9% (258)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
40.5% (640)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarnkrok shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Home / Away
Smith
Jarnkrok
Home
53.8% (860)
50.6% (2,261)
Away
49.8% (805)
45.3% (1,991)
By Period
Smith
Jarnkrok
P1
52.1%
47.7%
P2
50.2%
48.0%
P3
53.3%
48.8%
OT
62.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Ben Smith |