Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Grant 52.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grant 59.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 53.2%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Smith
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Smith
Grant
Last 8: Smith 5-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Grant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Smith
Grant
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
53.7% (2,864)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
61.7% (175)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
46.0% (922)
-0.5%
On power play, Grant has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Grant is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,349).
Home / Away
Smith
Grant
Home
53.8% (860)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
49.8% (805)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Smith
Grant
P1
52.1%
51.1%
P2
50.2%
51.5%
P3
53.3%
54.3%
OT
62.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Derek Grant |