Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 82.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 68.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Smith
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Smith
MacKenzie
Last 10: Smith 9-1 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
0
Smith
MacKenzie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
MacKenzie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
54.9% (3,660)
-1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
55.9% (102)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
46.7% (1,158)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Smith
MacKenzie
Home
53.8% (860)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
49.8% (805)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Smith
MacKenzie
P1
52.1%
51.9%
P2
50.2%
53.0%
P3
53.3%
54.0%
OT
62.5%
65.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ben Smith |