Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Roy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Roy 45.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 68.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 91.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 78.5%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Smith
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Roy
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
44.8% (784)
+9.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
45.0% (111)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
42.9% (14)
+3.5%
On power play, Roy has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Roy is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Smith
Roy
Home
54.4% (274)
45.8% (421)
Away
50.3% (320)
43.9% (488)
By Period
Smith
Roy
P1
50.0%
44.9%
P2
53.4%
43.6%
P3
53.2%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Ben Smith |