Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Roy 47.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 75.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 85.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 69.0%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Smith
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Roy
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
46.4% (3,031)
+7.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
53.6% (560)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
46.8% (267)
-1.3%
On even strength, Smith has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Home / Away
Smith
Roy
Home
53.8% (860)
49.5% (1,982)
Away
49.8% (805)
45.1% (1,897)
By Period
Smith
Roy
P1
52.1%
47.6%
P2
50.2%
46.2%
P3
53.3%
48.5%
OT
62.5%
43.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2014 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:30 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Ben Smith |