Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.4%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Haula 52.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 87.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 65.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Smith
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Smith
Haula
Last 9: Smith 8-1 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
5
1
Smith
Haula
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
52.9% (7,683)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
57.5% (603)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
43.5% (791)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Home / Away
Smith
Haula
Home
53.8% (860)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
49.8% (805)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Smith
Haula
P1
52.1%
53.2%
P2
50.2%
51.4%
P3
53.3%
52.7%
OT
62.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Ben Smith |