Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Barbashev 43.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 86.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.4%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 68.1%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Smith
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Smith
Barbashev
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
2
Smith
Barbashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Barbashev
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
4
Smith
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
40.8% (196)
+13.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
37.5% (8)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
0.0% (3)
+44.5%
On power play, Smith has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Barbashev is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Smith
Barbashev
Home
54.0% (274)
49.4% (89)
Away
47.9% (194)
33.1% (118)
By Period
Smith
Barbashev
P1
51.7%
34.3%
P2
51.7%
39.7%
P3
51.0%
46.6%
Final 5 min
59.2%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |