Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 88.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 53.1%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 72.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Smith
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Smith
Barbashev
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
0
2
Smith
Barbashev
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Barbashev
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
4
Smith
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
42.0% (1,738)
+11.7%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
46.1% (89)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
36.7% (139)
+8.8%
On even strength, Smith has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Smith
Barbashev
Home
53.8% (860)
42.4% (932)
Away
49.8% (805)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Smith
Barbashev
P1
52.1%
40.7%
P2
50.2%
42.3%
P3
53.3%
42.3%
OT
62.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 10:17 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:02 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |