Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Stoll 55.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stoll 93.1%
Defensive zone
Stoll 63.2%
Neutral zone
Stoll 81.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Smith
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Smith
Stoll
Last 10: Smith 8-2 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Smith
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
6
0
Smith
Stoll
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Smith
Stoll
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
56.0% (4,886)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
56.5% (496)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
50.7% (1,087)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Stoll is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Smith
Stoll
Home
53.8% (860)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
49.8% (805)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Smith
Stoll
P1
52.1%
54.2%
P2
50.2%
55.8%
P3
53.3%
55.3%
OT
62.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 30, 2013 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |