Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 74.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.2%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Smith
Mitchell
Last 6: Smith 4-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Smith
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
51.2% (666)
+2.9%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
45.5% (22)
-31.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
48.9% (47)
-2.5%
On power play, Mitchell has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
54.4% (274)
51.7% (360)
Away
50.3% (320)
50.1% (375)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
50.0%
50.2%
P2
53.4%
49.4%
P3
53.2%
51.9%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | John Mitchell |