Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.0%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Mitchell 51.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 69.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Smith
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Smith
Mitchell
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
4
Smith
Mitchell
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
3
Smith
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.8% (2,965)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
54.1% (196)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
44.1% (401)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Mitchell is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,264).
Home / Away
Smith
Mitchell
Home
53.8% (860)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
49.8% (805)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Smith
Mitchell
P1
52.1%
52.0%
P2
50.2%
49.9%
P3
53.3%
50.9%
OT
62.5%
69.2%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:13 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Ben Smith |