Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Staal 58.4% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 61.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 84.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 63.5%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Smith
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Smith
Staal
Last 7: Smith 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Smith
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
59.1% (888)
-4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
66.9% (121)
+33.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
52.6% (156)
-8.1%
On power play, Smith has a +33.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Smith
Staal
Home
54.0% (274)
61.2% (600)
Away
47.9% (194)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Smith
Staal
P1
51.7%
57.5%
P2
51.7%
60.1%
P3
51.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
59.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |