Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.8%
Neutral zone
Smith 67.7%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Smith
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Smith
Staal
Last 7: Smith 2-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Smith
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
55.9% (14,620)
-2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
62.7% (1,745)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
48.0% (2,896)
-2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Smith
Staal
Home
53.8% (860)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
49.8% (805)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Smith
Staal
P1
52.1%
55.2%
P2
50.2%
55.9%
P3
53.3%
54.9%
OT
62.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |