Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 85.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 85.6%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 51.7%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Smith
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Smith
Lehtera
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
5
Smith
Lehtera
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Smith
Lehtera
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.4% (2,714)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
55.8% (339)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
41.3% (104)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Home / Away
Smith
Lehtera
Home
53.8% (860)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
49.8% (805)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Smith
Lehtera
P1
52.1%
53.2%
P2
50.2%
50.6%
P3
53.3%
48.1%
OT
62.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Ben Smith |