Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Danforth 49.8% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Danforth 64.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.9%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.2%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Smith
Danforth
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.8% (1,018)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
50.0% (36)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
40.1% (207)
+5.4%
On power play, Smith has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Danforth is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Smith
Danforth
Home
53.8% (860)
51.4% (619)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.3% (642)
By Period
Smith
Danforth
P1
52.1%
49.1%
P2
50.2%
51.4%
P3
53.3%
48.3%
OT
62.5%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%