Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Scheifele 43.4% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 79.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 74.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Smith
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Smith
Scheifele
Last 7: Smith 3-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Smith
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
42.3% (938)
+11.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
50.0% (168)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
26.8% (41)
+19.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Smith shoots right. Scheifele is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Smith
Scheifele
Home
54.4% (274)
43.1% (569)
Away
50.3% (320)
42.7% (579)
By Period
Smith
Scheifele
P1
50.0%
45.3%
P2
53.4%
38.6%
P3
53.2%
44.1%
OT
33.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Ben Smith |