Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 83.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 87.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 58.0%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Smith
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Smith
Scheifele
Last 8: Smith 4-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Smith
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
1
Smith
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
46.3% (12,036)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
50.2% (2,563)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
41.6% (598)
+3.9%
On even strength, Smith has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Home / Away
Smith
Scheifele
Home
53.8% (860)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
49.8% (805)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Smith
Scheifele
P1
52.1%
48.2%
P2
50.2%
45.6%
P3
53.3%
46.8%
OT
62.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Ben Smith |