Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.6%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Perreault 51.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 78.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 76.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Smith
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smith
Perreault
Last 5: Smith 3-2 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Smith
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Perreault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Smith
Perreault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
50.9% (328)
+3.2%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
52.0% (102)
-37.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
85.7% (7)
-39.3%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Perreault is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Smith
Perreault
Home
54.4% (274)
55.0% (218)
Away
50.3% (320)
48.2% (220)
By Period
Smith
Perreault
P1
50.0%
49.3%
P2
53.4%
47.7%
P3
53.2%
59.7%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |