Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Perreault 50.8% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 83.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 86.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Smith
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Smith
Perreault
Last 6: Smith 4-2 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Smith
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Perreault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Perreault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.7% (2,465)
+3.0%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
52.2% (454)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
44.0% (25)
+1.5%
On power play, Smith has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Perreault is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,146).
Home / Away
Smith
Perreault
Home
53.8% (860)
52.1% (1,474)
Away
49.8% (805)
49.6% (1,482)
By Period
Smith
Perreault
P1
52.1%
52.4%
P2
50.2%
48.6%
P3
53.3%
51.8%
OT
62.5%
43.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Ben Smith |