Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Stajan 49.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 58.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 60.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Smith
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Smith
Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Smith
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.5%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
43.2% (176)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
46.1% (864)
-0.6%
On power play, Smith has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Smith
Stajan
Home
53.8% (860)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
49.8% (805)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Smith
Stajan
P1
52.1%
50.3%
P2
50.2%
48.5%
P3
53.3%
49.4%
OT
62.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |