Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.4%). Look for Lapierre on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Lapierre 51.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 57.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 57.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Smith
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Smith
Lapierre
Last 9: Smith 2-7 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
2
Smith
Lapierre
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
1
Smith
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
0
4
Smith
Lapierre
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
52.9% (2,085)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
53.1% (32)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
43.1% (415)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Smith
Lapierre
Home
53.8% (860)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
49.8% (805)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Smith
Lapierre
P1
52.1%
52.5%
P2
50.2%
50.7%
P3
53.3%
51.1%
OT
62.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |