Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Dowd 48.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 86.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Smith
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Smith
Dowd
Last 8: Smith 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Smith
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Smith
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
47.2% (608)
+7.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.1% (96)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
0.0% (3)
+44.5%
On power play, Smith has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Smith is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Smith shoots right. Dowd is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Smith
Dowd
Home
54.0% (274)
48.7% (384)
Away
47.9% (194)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Smith
Dowd
P1
51.7%
50.2%
P2
51.7%
47.5%
P3
51.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |