Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 75.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 79.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 78.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Smith
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Smith
Bergeron
Last 5: Smith 1-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Smith
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
59.4% (1,274)
-6.8%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
57.5% (193)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
55.5% (265)
-20.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Smith shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Smith
Bergeron
Home
50.3% (181)
61.9% (837)
Away
51.2% (213)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Smith
Bergeron
P1
54.2%
60.1%
P2
44.4%
59.2%
P3
54.2%
56.6%
OT
66.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
48.7%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |