Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 53.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 90.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.7%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Smith
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Smith
Bergeron
Last 10: Smith 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
12
Smith
Bergeron
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
0
Smith
Bergeron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
3
2
Smith
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
60.1% (13,938)
-6.4%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
60.8% (3,213)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
53.0% (2,776)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Home / Away
Smith
Bergeron
Home
53.8% (860)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
49.8% (805)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Smith
Bergeron
P1
52.1%
59.3%
P2
50.2%
60.0%
P3
53.3%
58.6%
OT
62.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
53.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |