Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 62.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 52.6% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 82.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 52.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 70.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Smith
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Smith
Bergeron
Last 5: Smith 3-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Smith
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (127)
57.0% (1,376)
-4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
62.8% (323)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
51.3% (279)
+4.8%
On power play, Smith has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Smith is 62.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Smith shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Smith
Bergeron
Home
56.2% (121)
59.1% (986)
Away
50.0% (64)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Smith
Bergeron
P1
55.7%
55.5%
P2
46.3%
58.0%
P3
57.4%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
62.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
54.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Ben Smith |