Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 50.6% vs Gagner 47.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 86.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 64.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 57.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Smith
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Smith
Gagner
Last 6: Smith 2-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Smith
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
0
Smith
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Smith
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (325)
45.9% (815)
+6.7%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
55.3% (132)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
25.0% (16)
+10.2%
On power play, Smith has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Smith is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Smith shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Smith
Gagner
Home
50.3% (181)
48.7% (542)
Away
51.2% (213)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Smith
Gagner
P1
54.2%
45.1%
P2
44.4%
46.6%
P3
54.2%
49.7%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |