Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 91.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 53.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 82.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 84.1%
15.9%
84.1%
Smith
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Smith
Gagner
Last 10: Smith 2-8 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
8
Smith
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Smith
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
51.5% (928)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
35.0% (226)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Smith
Gagner
Home
53.8% (860)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
49.8% (805)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Smith
Gagner
P1
52.1%
44.6%
P2
50.2%
46.1%
P3
53.3%
47.3%
OT
62.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |