Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Gagner 48.0% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 89.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 74.5%
Neutral zone
Gagner 66.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 89.2%
10.8%
89.2%
Smith
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Smith
Gagner
Last 5: Smith 0-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
5
Smith
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
46.5% (310)
+8.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.4% (115)
+49.6%
On power play, Smith has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Smith is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Smith shoots right. Gagner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Smith
Gagner
Home
54.0% (274)
52.4% (212)
Away
47.9% (194)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Smith
Gagner
P1
51.7%
46.2%
P2
51.7%
52.2%
P3
51.0%
43.6%
Final 5 min
59.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |