Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Bozak 53.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 70.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 82.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 66.8%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Smith
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Smith
Bozak
Last 7: Smith 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Smith
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Smith
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
53.8% (1,244)
+0.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
53.1% (356)
-38.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
49.1% (175)
-2.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Smith shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Smith
Bozak
Home
54.4% (274)
57.7% (892)
Away
50.3% (320)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Smith
Bozak
P1
50.0%
54.0%
P2
53.4%
54.4%
P3
53.2%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |