Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Bozak 53.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 71.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 84.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.0%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Smith
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Smith
Bozak
Last 7: Smith 2-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Smith
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Smith
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
48.0% (1,094)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Smith
Bozak
Home
53.8% (860)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.8% (805)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Smith
Bozak
P1
52.1%
53.2%
P2
50.2%
52.8%
P3
53.3%
54.5%
OT
62.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2015 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 19, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 11:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |