Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 52.0%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Johnson 51.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 82.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.9%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Smith
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smith
Johnson
Last 5: Smith 4-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
1
Smith
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Johnson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
51.2% (825)
+3.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.9% (160)
+43.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
51.1% (137)
-6.6%
On power play, Smith has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Smith shoots right. Johnson is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Smith
Johnson
Home
54.0% (274)
56.9% (583)
Away
47.9% (194)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Smith
Johnson
P1
51.7%
55.1%
P2
51.7%
53.0%
P3
51.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
59.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Ben Smith |