Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 82.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 83.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.6%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Smith
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Smith
Johnson
Last 10: Smith 5-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Smith
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
6
0
Smith
Johnson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
2
3
Smith
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
54.6% (885)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
42.3% (707)
+3.2%
On even strength, Smith has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Smith is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (501).
Smith shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Smith
Johnson
Home
53.8% (860)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
49.8% (805)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Smith
Johnson
P1
52.1%
50.1%
P2
50.2%
50.6%
P3
53.3%
48.4%
OT
62.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |