Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Girgensons 45.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 55.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 88.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 77.3%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Smith
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Girgensons
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Smith
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Girgensons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
45.2% (2,648)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
48.9% (174)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
42.0% (469)
+3.5%
On even strength, Smith has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,279).
Home / Away
Smith
Girgensons
Home
53.8% (860)
45.3% (1,651)
Away
49.8% (805)
44.6% (1,640)
By Period
Smith
Girgensons
P1
52.1%
45.7%
P2
50.2%
43.7%
P3
53.3%
45.2%
OT
62.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |