Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Girgensons 45.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 54.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 84.0%
Neutral zone
Smith 69.8%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Smith
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Girgensons
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Smith
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Girgensons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
45.4% (2,700)
+8.3%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
49.1% (175)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
42.2% (481)
+3.3%
On even strength, Smith has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Girgensons is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Smith
Girgensons
Home
53.8% (860)
45.3% (1,673)
Away
49.8% (805)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Smith
Girgensons
P1
52.1%
45.7%
P2
50.2%
44.1%
P3
53.3%
45.5%
OT
62.5%
52.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |