Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Catton wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Catton 46.8% vs Compher 47.8% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Catton 80.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 82.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.7%
Result
Berkly Catton favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Catton
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Catton
Compher
Last 5: Catton 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Catton
2
0
Catton
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Catton
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Catton
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Catton
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (111)
48.7% (5,716)
-5.5%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
52.6% (682)
+1.9%
On even strength, Compher has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Catton is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (49).
Catton shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Home / Away
Catton
Compher
Home
50.0% (72)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
36.0% (50)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Catton
Compher
P1
48.8%
49.1%
P2
39.6%
47.3%
P3
45.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
36.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Catton
44.0%▬
44.3%
44.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Berkly Catton |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:45 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |