Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 56.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnold 50.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnold 50.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 63.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 53.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Arnold
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Arnold
Kesler
Last 5: Arnold 2-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Arnold
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Arnold
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnold
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (9)
56.4% (8,095)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Arnold is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Arnold shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
By Period
Arnold
Kesler
P1
50.0%
56.5%
P2
66.7%
55.9%
Final 5 min
100.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnold
55.6%▬
55.6%
55.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Bill Arnold |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Bill Arnold |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |