Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.2%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thomas wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thomas 50.4% vs Pelley 51.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 52.5%
Defensive zone
Pelley 56.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.1%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Thomas
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thomas
Pelley
Last 5: Thomas 4-1 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
0
1
Thomas
Pelley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
0
Thomas
Pelley
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
0
Thomas
Pelley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thomas
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (23)
51.4% (440)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.8% (118)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Thomas is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Thomas shoots right. Pelley is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Thomas
Pelley
Home
45.5% (11)
52.9% (221)
Away
57.1% (14)
50.1% (353)
By Period
Thomas
Pelley
P1
50.0%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
49.3%
P3
60.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
62.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thomas
52.0%▬
52.0%
52.0%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Rod Pelley |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Bill Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:22 | Defensive | Bill Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Bill Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Bill Thomas |