Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Backes 50.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 72.3%
Defensive zone
Jones 73.6%
Neutral zone
Jones 75.4%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Jones
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jones
Backes
Last 5: Jones 1-4 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Jones
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
3
Jones
Backes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Backes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
51.1% (5,772)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.8% (1,082)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
47.4% (930)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Jones
Backes
Home
48.9% (272)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
45.0% (311)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Jones
Backes
P1
47.1%
50.1%
P2
49.7%
51.5%
P3
44.8%
50.8%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | David Backes |