Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 55.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 73.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 51.1%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Jones
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Jones
Brodziak
Last 9: Jones 5-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
2
Jones
Brodziak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jones
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
50.5% (6,432)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
52.8% (326)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
45.5% (1,344)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Home / Away
Jones
Brodziak
Home
48.9% (272)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
45.0% (311)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Jones
Brodziak
P1
47.1%
49.2%
P2
49.7%
50.7%
P3
44.8%
49.5%
OT
25.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |