Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Couture 48.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 50.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 53.0%
Neutral zone
Jones 52.7%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Jones
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jones
Couture
Last 6: Jones 3-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Couture
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
0
1
Jones
Couture
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Couture
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
48.8% (8,919)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.6% (624)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
39.8% (992)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Couture is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,626).
Home / Away
Jones
Couture
Home
48.9% (272)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
45.0% (311)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Jones
Couture
P1
47.1%
47.9%
P2
49.7%
47.9%
P3
44.8%
49.2%
OT
25.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 17, 2012 | OT | 01:26 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 17, 2012 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Blair Jones |