Scouting Report
Blair Jones holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 48.9% vs Ribeiro 44.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 57.0%
Defensive zone
Jones 85.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 73.5%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Jones
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jones
Ribeiro
Last 5: Jones 4-1 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Jones
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
3
0
Jones
Ribeiro
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (60)
43.1% (821)
+10.2%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
48.1% (77)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
0.0% (5)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Jones has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Jones is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Jones shoots right. Ribeiro is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Jones
Ribeiro
Home
47.2% (36)
45.2% (504)
Away
47.5% (40)
40.9% (399)
By Period
Jones
Ribeiro
P1
44.8%
42.7%
P2
54.2%
45.3%
P3
45.5%
43.0%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
47.4%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |