Scouting Report
Blair Jones holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 63.7%
Defensive zone
Jones 87.4%
Neutral zone
Jones 60.1%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Jones
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Jones
Ribeiro
Last 9: Jones 5-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
2
1
Jones
Ribeiro
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Jones
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
3
2
Jones
Ribeiro
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
42.9% (4,887)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
45.6% (930)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
33.3% (147)
-1.0%
On even strength, Jones has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Ribeiro is 39.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,096).
Home / Away
Jones
Ribeiro
Home
48.9% (272)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
45.0% (311)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Jones
Ribeiro
P1
47.1%
42.6%
P2
49.7%
44.3%
P3
44.8%
41.8%
OT
25.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:37 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 22, 2014 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |